Investment tips from 'The Godfather'

For film buffs and critics alike, The Godfather pretty much embodies what celluloid magic is all about. Even 37 years after its release, the movie continues to capture the collective imagination of audiences across the world. Its characters, lines and performances are a part of folklore. Debates and discussions on what makes the movie tick continue till date. The film's enduring appeal to generation after generation only reaffirms its status as a true classic.

But there's a lesser-known aspect to The Godfather. Apart from being a source of inspiration to aspiring actors and filmmakers, the film has a lot to offer to investors as well. Following are 3 investment tips from The Godfather:

1. "Where does it say that you can't kill a cop?"

When the Corleone family is under attack, Michael Corleone (Al Pacino) comes up with a seemingly outlandish plan to eliminate his family's enemies. And that includes killing a corrupt police officer. Despite being scoffed at by his associates, Michael rationalises his plan by suggesting that they feed the media with stories of the police officer's corrupt practices and his links with the mob, and thereby defame him. Essentially, Michael shows the willingness to think out-of-the-box and take risk, without being irrational.

Likewise, the willingness to be unconventional and take on risk is vital for successful investing. Often, investors are guilty of sticking to certain avenues simply because they have always done so. For example, it is not uncommon to find investors who refuse to venture beyond bank fixed deposits and small savings schemes; the only explanation for their choice being, we have always invested in these avenues. By shutting the door on other options, investors might deprive themselves of the opportunity to meet their investment objectives. Of course, this should not be read as a recommendation to throw caution to the winds and invest in every untested investment avenue on offer.

All investors need to do is, be open to the idea of investing in avenues that offer a suitable investment proposition and be willing to take on acceptable levels of risk. For instance, a 25-Yr old investor who is saving for his retirement 35 years hence, can't hold a portfolio comprised of only fixed deposits and bonds; despite the higher risk, equities and mutual funds must find place therein. Remember, risk isn't bad; investing without being aware of it or failing to properly assess it, is what gives rise to thorny situations.

2. "It's not personal. It's strictly business."

This recurring line from the film has been used to great effect on each occasion. Every character who quotes this legendary line tries to impress on others that a given act or plan of action should be seen as a business decision. In other words, it has nothing to do with his personal feelings. Hence, the need to view the act in a dispassionate manner. The 'not personal' rationale holds true for investments as well.

At times, investors have a tendency to get 'attached' to their investments. This is especially true of market-linked avenues like stocks and mutual funds that have had a successful run. The trouble starts when the avenue is no longer equipped to perform as it has in the past. Similarly, there can be a situation wherein an investor gets invested in an avenue that fails to deliver. In both the situations, investors might be tempted to hold on to the investment; while in the former, it's the 'attachment' at work, in the latter, it's to get even.

Such an approach to investing is certainly unwarranted. An investment is simply a means to achieve a goal i.e. the investment objective. If a thorough evaluation suggests that the investment is no longer equipped to play the part that it was supposed to, investors must salvage the situation by getting rid of the same at an opportune price and time.

3. "Tom Hagen is no longer consiglieri."

When Michael decides to expand the family's operations, he decides to make certain changes. The significant one being that his brother/long-time associate, Tom Hagen (Robert Duvall) is sacked from the consiglieri's (advisor) post. His explanation for this rather drastic move is quite simple - Tom is not a not a wartime consiglieri and that things could get rough. Simply put, Michael prefers someone adept at strong-arm tactics over his brother, since the situation demands it.

An investor should routinely evaluate his relationship with the investment advisor/financial planner. The onus to ensure that investments are made and managed in the best interests of the investor, lies with the advisor. In effect, the investment advisor's integrity and competence are consistently tested.

Let's consider the emerging scenario in the mutual fund industry. With entry loads being scrapped, investors will be required to individually compensate advisors for services rendered. There can be a situation wherein an investor believes that his advisor isn't able to justify the fees demanded or perhaps his service standards aren't up to the mark. Should such a situation arise, investors shouldn't hesitate to terminate their existing relationship. Investing is serious business and there should be no room for incompetence or a slack attitude on the advisor's part.

Finally, be wary when someone "makes you an offer, you can't refuse". In The Godfather, this phrase refers to a veiled threat; refusal leads to dire consequences. In the world of investments, one can draw a parallel to investment propositions that claim to offer a win-win proposition. For instance, an investment that purports to expose investors to low risk, yet promises to deliver high returns. Remember, if an investment proposition sounds too good to be true, there's more than a fair chance that it is.

HDFC Top 200: An underrated achiever

Did you know that even investments can be exciting? Typically, asset classes or investment avenues that have hit a purple patch make the grade as exciting ones. Especially, the ones that have gone from obscurity to prominence in a short time span. They are written about in the media and instantly recommended by investment advisors. For instance, a fund that has delivered a trail-blazing performance and is perched at the top of the rankings. Even providers of financial services enjoy their fifteen minutes of fame; say a fund house that holds the largest asset size in the industry. Don't get me wrong. There is nothing wrong with an asset class, an investment avenue or a financial service provider being lauded and discussed, because it has delivered. In fact, it's only to be expected.

The trouble starts when one reads too much into the 'exciting' bit and makes investment decisions based solely on the same. Also, since most of the fanfare can be attributed to a recent showing, it is difficult to distinguish a 'flash in the pan' from a 'sustainable' performance. And for serious investors, the latter is certainly a more important evaluation parameter.

Then there are funds which don't qualify as exciting ones. Make no mistake, that's not the same as being non-performers. On the contrary, these can be funds that go about playing their part to perfection, but in an understated manner. They often deliver with enviable levels of consistency. Their performance over longer time periods and across parameters can be impressive. Despite this, there is never a frenzy surrounding them. It is not uncommon for such funds to be labelled as 'boring'.

Sadly, most investors fail to realise that in the context of investing, boring can be good. This is because, boring translates into predictability. And predictability means fewer unpleasant surprises. If you are building an investment portfolio to achieve certain objectives, boring funds of the aforementioned variety should account for a lion's share of the portfolio. The fact that a fund isn't in the limelight or isn't perceived as exciting is no reflection on its prowess. A competent performer stays the same irrespective of the attention it garners. HDFC Top 200 Fund (HT2F) is one fund that falls in the category of underrated achievers.

Originally an offering from Zurich India Mutual Fund, the fund became a part of HDFC Mutual Fund subsequent to the former's takeover in 2003. A diversified equity fund, HT2F's investment proposition is quite simple. It largely invests in stocks of companies featuring in the BSE 200 index. An interesting aspect of the fund is that it combines the active and passive styles of investing. It holds around 60% of its portfolio in line with the BSE 200 index. The fund has also benefited from the presence of its fund manager, Prashant Jain (Executive Director & CIO-HDFC Mutual Fund). Incidentally, Prashant Jain was earlier associated with Zurich India Mutual Fund. The fund's long-standing association with the fund manager has served it well.

Now for the performance. For a fund that has been in existence for well over a decade (inception in 1996), HT2F's track record is impressive to say the least. As on July 14, 2009, over the 3-Yr and 5-Yr periods, it had delivered 17.5% CAGR and 31.2% CAGR respectively; the corresponding figures for BSE 200 were 9.9% CAGR and 21.8% CAGR. Over the last 12 months, the fund posted a growth of 22.3% vis-à-vis just 3.1% for its benchmark. HT2F's NAV rose by 21.6% CAGR over a 10-Yr period as compared to 13.8% for BSE 200. And that is no mean achievement!

Any analyst worth his salt will agree that a fund's mettle is truly tested during a downturn. In recent times, after peaking in January 2008, domestic stock markets went into a downward spiral that lasted until March 2009. Over this (approximately 14-Mth) period, between it highest and lowest points, the BSE 200 shed 64.9% on an absolute basis; HT2F scored over its benchmark by losing 54.8%. In effect, the fund has fared better than its benchmark in both the upturn and downturn. HT2F is no laggard when it comes to competing with peers. Its showing vis-à-vis comparable peers (funds that predominantly invest in the large cap segment) is equally noteworthy.

Despite this, there is no perceptible buzz around the fund. No one is raving about its performance. This is hard to explain. For some obscure reason, HT2F lacks the 'X' (read exciting) factor that is much needed to draw attention.

What investors must do
For one, it would help if you don't let the hype or 'lack of it' affect your investment decisions. Always remember, investing need not be exciting; conversely, as mentioned earlier, boring can be good. You must check with your investment advisor/financial planner if a competent and proven, yet seemingly humdrum fund fits in your scheme of things. And if it does, by all means get invested.

(NAV data sourced from www.hdfcfund.com; data for BSE 200 sourced from www.bseindia.com)

5 investment tips from Batman

Surprised to read about Batman and investments in the same sentence? Don't be. Not many would associate a comic book character with investing. However, there's a lot that investors can learn from the Dark Knight and his modus operandi.

Here are 5 investment tips from Batman.

1. No super powers, but he's still a super hero!

Interesting, isn't it, Batman has no super powers. Unlike his fellow caped crusaders, he can't fly; neither can he spin a web and swing across buildings. In effect, he is a super hero with no super powers. All he relies on are his physical and mental skills like a mere mortal. And yet, he emerges a winner every time.

Similarly, investors must appreciate that they don't need to be 'investment gurus' to achieve their financial goals. All they need to do is, invest in a disciplined manner and keep things simple at all times. For instance, investors should be unambiguously aware of their investment objectives i.e. what they want to achieve via their investments. Also, they must understand the characteristics of the investment avenues deployed i.e. the pros and cons. Having a contingency plan i.e. a 'plan B' is vital as well. There's no reason investors can't succeed, if they stick to the basics of investing and adopt a diligent approach.

2. The omnipresent Batsuit and Batmobile, among other gadgets

Ever noticed how Batman uses a plethora of gadgets. But primary among them are the Batsuit (with the utility belt) and the Batmobile. No matter what the situation, the aforementioned always have a role to play. While other gadgets keep appearing in an intermittent manner, these are the mainstays of his arsenal.

Investors must ensure that they have a solid core portfolio in place. It can be comprised of various avenues like mutual funds that have stood the test of time, bonds/instruments backed by a sovereign guarantee. Gold must find place in every portfolio from an asset allocation perspective. Although not in the domain of investments, the importance of being adequately insured cannot be overstated. A term plan is an ideal way to acquire a substantial insurance cover at a low cost. Opting for medical insurance is pertinent too. Once a solid core portfolio has been built, other avenues can be included in the portfolio, depending their suitability for the investor.

3. Robin and Alfred to the rescue …

Despite the fact that he's a bonafide super hero, Batman is never short on allies. For example, for advice, he turns to his mentor Alfred, who also doubles up as his butler. And, when its time for action, Batman's protégé Robin isn't far away. Commissioner Gordon and Lucius Fox have a part to play in Batman's crime-fighting escapades too.

For investors, the most important ally is the investment advisor/financial planner. This individual should act as the bridge between investors and their financial goals. He is required to have a fair degree of expertise as far as investments go and must consistently work in the investor's interests. Investors on their part must ensure that they are always associated with a competent and committed investment advisor.

4. Batman preys at night

Unlike other super heroes who operate in broad daylight, Batman preys at night. In fact, he uses the cloak of darkness to his advantage. In other words, he steers clear of the herd mentality and adopts an approach that is suited to him. That makes Batman, a bit of a contrarian vis-à-vis his peers.

It is not uncommon for investors to get swayed by trends and popular opinion while making investment decisions. Over the past few years, avenues like tech stocks/funds, ULIPs (unit linked insurance plans) and NFOs (new fund offers), among others have at various points in time, captured the investor's fancy. Several investors have been guilty of getting invested without fully understanding the investment proposition on offer or evaluating the suitability. Typically, this phenomenon can be attributed to herd mentality i.e. investors got invested simply because everyone around them was doing so. It is important for investors to make investment decisions based on what is right for them, rather what everyone around them is doing.

5. The baddies keep coming back …

Batman has to contend with an impressive list of super villains - the Joker, the Penguin, Two-face, the Riddler, to name a few. Sure, Batman beats them every time, but they keep coming back. And the eternal battle between good and evil continues like an ongoing saga.

It's no different with investments. The process never really comes to an end, not even for investors who may have that ideal portfolio in place. Changing economic environment and risk appetite are some of the factors that necessitate a constant review of one's investment portfolio. A fulfilled need will be replaced by the emergence of a new one. Investors would do well to appreciate that investing is not a one-off activity. This in turn, reinforces the need to devote adequate time to the investment exercise.

Clearly, there's a lot that one can learn about investing from the Dark Knight. From an investor's perspective, the key lies in utilising these pointers to achieve his financial goals.